Is Haley doing well in New Hampshire? Kornacki is looking at the numbers of people voting in the Republican primary and as long as they are not registered as Democrats at the moment they can vote in the primary. Exit polls can be notoriously inaccurate because of the difficulty of obtaining a statistically representative sample, but if they are accurate then more than half of today’s voters are self-identified independents or Democrats. But will the Democrats vote for Haley, or for Trump as the candidate less likely to defeat Biden?
Some polls close in five minutes and some an hour later, but we should get returns soon.
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January 23, 2024 at 5:10 pm
Eric Kirk
AP has already called it for Trump, but other media sources are being more cautious. Right now he’s ahead by 6 percentage points. So what would constitute a “moral victory” for Haley?
https://www.cnn.com/politics/live-news/new-hampshire-primary-01-23-24/index.html
January 23, 2024 at 5:14 pm
Eric Kirk
NYT is also calling it for Trump, estimating a 10 to 15 percent win.
So does Haley drop out, or fight in her home state?
January 23, 2024 at 5:30 pm
Eric Kirk
“This race is far from over.”
Haley
January 23, 2024 at 6:17 pm
Henchman Of Justice
Mang, are you feeling ill?
New Hampshire population is nearly 1.4 million.
Total votes casted between Trump/Haley 105k
7-10% other candidates…
people are quitting voting…
democrat’s poll data won’t look better either…
January 23, 2024 at 6:35 pm
Jon Yalcinkaya
Delusion is not a great trait in a Presidential candidate.
January 23, 2024 at 6:37 pm
Anonymous
Haley’s going to lose by an even larger margin in her home state of South Carolina.
Even then she may not officially end her campaign, but that’s the point where I expect her fundraising will crater and her campaign will effectively be over, even if she limps into the next few states without “suspending” her campaign.
The GOP is the Party of Trump, and has been for quite some time. Unless he dies or is otherwise incapacitated, he’s going to be the nominee. This has been obvious for a long time.
January 23, 2024 at 8:16 pm
Eric Kirk
She did outperform the polls.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-r/
January 23, 2024 at 9:35 pm
Eric Kirk
Of note – Biden didn’t even campaign and wasn’t on the ballot, and yet he came out 50 percentage points higher than second place. This among Democrats who are pissed that their primary didn’t come first this time. That’s what you call energetic support.
January 24, 2024 at 4:27 am
Jon Yalcinkaya
I’m not sure if you are being sarcastic… but….That’s not energetic support Eric. You didn’t mention turnout in the D primary compared to the past which WOULD be an indicator, AND BIDEN HAS NO serious Democratic RIVALS. 50% instead of 100% is not a sign of energetic support imo, but of dedicated Democratic voters going out & doing their duty. And as they are Democratic voters many likely get why South Carolina (or is it Georgia?) rightfully should be first.
January 24, 2024 at 7:12 am
Henchman Of Justice
The victory speech by Trump over backstabber Haley… the camera lighting was intentionally ORANGE…
…Nicky got booed by her own base after recklessly backstabbing her former boss Trump, Trump who gave Haley a leg-up appointment… black widow candidate…Haley is principle- less…
California got a prop because of the 50% + 1 change to award all electoral votes in one fail swoop to get the primary over quickly
January 24, 2024 at 7:33 am
Anonymous
Sununu’s support was worth at least 10 points, and democrats posing as Republican Haley supporters another 10 points. Even you girls are smart enough to figure that our…..if you’re being honest, which is not likely…..
January 24, 2024 at 8:45 am
Henchman Of Justice
… honesty is proclaiming independent voters mostly DO NOT EXIST…
…that the independent status is just a cover-up for most voters who are DINOS & RINOS… sell-outs who continue to establish their allegiance to a 2 Party System that has rigged elections since the late 1800’s…