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Guest opinion at LoCo.

I know there are downsides, but I support it as well.

All because sadistic MAGA pols wanted to strut in their bloody feeding frenzy of scapegoats.

Acquitted.

Still not the final.

About 1000 votes since they reported 870 or so remaining, and I guess there are still more to be counted. Can’t be many.

April Van Dyke is back up to slightly over 61 percent. Note that there are over 4000 undervotes for that race, about twice as many as for other countywide votes. That’s a lot of people who couldn’t vote for the incumbent, but wouldn’t vote for a “restorative justice” liberal.

Lake County has the biggest batch of votes left. San Diego has the second biggest. Many of the counties have submitted their final reports, including Trinity and Mendo. In our Assembly District, we’ve got some straggling votes here, in Del Norte, and Sonoma. Again, I don’t think anywhere near enough to push Hicks over Rogers. The latest official AD2 count probably doesn’t include yesterday’s Humboldt report, but I don’t think it matters.

Specifically on the archaic Comstock Act. Later today when I’ll post the latest Redwood Wonk video here. In it I predict that the 5th Circuit ruling will be overturned by SCOTUS 7-2 because 4 of the conservative Justices don’t want the Democrats to keep hitting Democrats over the head with the abortion issue. It is very possible that the thrashing the Republicans took in Tuesday’s Alabama special election was fueled by the SCOTUS hearing.

But the far right exists in a social and political bubble. Thomas and Scalia homed in on the Comstock Act of the 19th century which prohibits, among other things, sending abortion products through the mail. It’s been dormant for over a hundred years. The two are expected to write a dissent which has raised concerns that a future MAGA President may feel empowered to revive the Comstock Act for other purposes.

If Senate Democrats were taking advice from me, they would introduce a bill to repeal the Comstock Act close to the election and fundraise off the inevitable Republican filibuster.

Addendum:

He’s got about a 1500 vote lead.

And there aren’t anywhere near enough votes left to be counted to make up the difference.

Since Dobbs, Democrats have outperformed the polling in every single special election – every single one. And they outperformed the polls in nearly every midterm race – very few exceptions.

A Democrat flipped a State House seat in an Alabama special election emphasizing the state’s ridiculous abortion laws and she didn’t just win – she clobbered the Republican.

But Five Thirty Eight and other pundits just completely leave the Dobbs effect out of every discussion of the Presidential race. Do they believe it doesn’t apply? Does it not apply?

Addendum:

Apparently the man was suspended pending investigation – but why?

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