PDF file (warning to dial-uppers)
Thanks to Not a Native for bringing my attention to it in the thread below. S/he has already taken a look at the numbers and has some interesting thoughts as they apply to Sohum.
I’ll take a look at the numbers later on and add some of my own thoughts if I have any. First off I’d like to compare the results to June. The comparison could be instructive for future campaigns.
Addendum: Well, it’s pretty much as expected. You can find the results on pages 46 to 48. Clif won big in Fortuna. Estelle had a commanding lead in Sohum. Johanna won in Hydesville, Carlotta, and big time in Scotia.
Clif did edge Estelle out in one Sohum precinct – 2SH3. I have no idea where that is.
The June results are here and you can find the precinct totals on pages 680 to 682.
The format isn’t friendly to the eyes. More later.
Second addendum: Well, check out what Hank did! Very easy on the eyes.
7 comments
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December 5, 2008 at 8:05 am
Anonymous
Good Luck.
December 5, 2008 at 8:38 am
Goober
It looks like the Estelle/Clif percentages stayed pretty much the same in Southern Humboldt from June to November.
December 5, 2008 at 8:43 am
Eric Kirk
Good Luck.
With what?
December 5, 2008 at 11:22 am
ecumenik
Lets see if I can connect the election results with Thank Jah………Ok, I can’t.
But did you hear that guy with the “Pig-Hide-drown-the-muslims” guy? I was hoping the conversation would go towards the “Big Box on the Waterfront” issue. I think it would be great if Thank Jah started a blog on the KMUD Website. I tried over the years to start conversations on the site, but never could get anything going. Thank Jah could I think.
Anyway, just dusting off my old persona, Moviedad, Ecumenik, Richard. A little Schizophrenic I know. But it is a new millennium.
December 5, 2008 at 5:40 pm
Hank Sims
The format isn’t friendly to the eyes.
Help is here.
December 5, 2008 at 10:42 pm
Not A Native
Just to summarize my conclusions re: the SoHum influence.
The SoHum vote didn’t change the result. SoHum votes did add to Clif’s win as half of Clif’s margin of victory. (Clif has no cause to take “retribution” on SoHum).
All other votes the same, Estelle would have needed 80% of SoHum votes to have won. No candidate in a competitive race could ever hope to get that much of the vote. So, if Johanna hadn’t run, the result would probably have been the same.
All other votes the same, Johanna could have won if 38% of SoHum had voted for her. Since Roger never polled nearly that high in SoHum, it’s unlikely that Estelle’s candidacy “saved” Clif by “pulling” votes from Johanna.
December 7, 2008 at 9:11 am
Anonymous
“With what?”
The election in 2012, of course. Can’t wait to see how well Clif’s 39% mandate holds up.