What are your predictions?
For D.A., I’m predicting a runoff between Elan and Maggie, with Maggie breaking 40 percent and Elan at 35. I think Alan will take 15 to 20 percent and Arnie will take 5 to 10 percent. All bets are off for November if there’s a runoff.
I’m predicting that Virginia will come out on top of Chris 54 to 46 percent, but if I was in Virginia’s shoes I would be very concerned about the enthusiasm within the Kerrigan campaign. Kerrigan’s team – they actually think they can win this thing. And in a low turnout election, that can be very dangerous for an incumbent.
I don’t think Sharon can beat Ryan, and probably will have a hard time breaking 40 percent. Could even be as low as 30 percent – she just came in too late as an unknown with too little money against an incumbent against which maybe 20 percent of the voters hold a grudge.
But all of these predictions can be frustrated if you get out to vote! I’ve never understood why anyone who isn’t basically cynical doesn’t make the effort.
Any turnout reports? It was very light at the First Covenant Church in Eureka this morning – maybe 15 people in my precinct had voted by 8:30.
KMUD will be airing extensive coverage of the races of several counties. I’ll be there blabbing away with some other people. If you like to hear my blabber, tonight will be a good night.