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As far north as San Francisco. It doesn’t appear that the effect will be that significant up this far. From the National Weather Service:
Dear Subscriber,
THIS MESSAGE IS BASED ON EARTHQUAKE DATA… OBSERVED TSUNAMI AMPLITUDES… HISTORICAL INFORMATION AND FORECAST MODELS. A TSUNAMI HAS BEEN OBSERVED AT THE FOLLOWING SITES LOCATION LAT LON TIME AMPL ———————— —– —— ——- ———– APIA WEST SAMOA 13.8S 171.8W 1832UTC 0.70M/2.3FT PAGO PAGO AMER. SAMOA 14.3S 170.7W 1825UTC 1.57M/5.1FT RAROTONGA COOK IS. (NZ 21.2S 159.8E 1950UTC 0.54M/1.8FT FORECASTS INDICATE THAT A TSUNAMI WITH AMPLITUDES IN THE RANGE OF 20 TO 65CM IS EXPECTED ALONG THE CALIFORNIA AND OREGON COAST. TSUNAMIS OF THIS AMPLITUDE CAN GENERATE STRONG CURRENTS DANGEROUS TO THOSE VERY NEAR OR IN THE OCEAN. THE TSUNAMI IS EXPECTED TO BUILD AND REACH ITS MAXIMUM APPROXIMATELY ONE AND A HALF HOURS AFTER THE INITIAL ARRIVAL. FURTHER ARRIVAL TIMES AND OTHER INFORMATION IS LISTED IN THE WEB SITE BELOW. TIME – TIME OF MEASUREMENT AMPL – TSUNAMI AMPLITUDES ARE MEASURED RELATIVE TO NORMAL SEA LEVEL. IT IS …NOT… CREST-TO-TROUGH WAVE HEIGHT. VALUES ARE GIVEN IN BOTH METERS(M) AND FEET(FT). PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS MAGNITUDE – 8.0 TIME – 0948 AKDT SEP 29 2009 1048 PDT SEP 29 2009 1748 UTC SEP 29 2009 LOCATION – 15.3 SOUTH 171.0 WEST – SAMOA ISLANDS REGION DEPTH – 21 MILES/33 KM SANTA BARBARA-CA 2103 PDT SEP 29 SAN FRANCISCO-CA 2125 PDT SEP 29 LA JOLLA-CA 2107 PDT SEP 29 CHARLESTON-OR 2128 PDT SEP 29 CRESCENT CITY-CA 2116 PDT SEP 29 SEASIDE-OR 2201 PDT SEP 29 FOR ARRIVAL TIMES AT ADDITIONAL LOCATIONS SEE WCATWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV
Instruction:
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS A TSUNAMI HAS BEEN GENERATED WHICH COULD CAUSE DAMAGE TO THE ADVISORY REGIONS LISTED IN THE HEADLINE. PERSONS IN LOW-LYING COASTAL AREAS SHOULD BE ALERT TO INSTRUCTIONS FROM THEIR LOCAL EMERGENCY OFFICIALS. EVACUATIONS ARE ONLY ORDERED BY EMERGENCY RESPONSE AGENCIES. – PERSONS IN TSUNAMI ADVISORY AREAS SHOULD MOVE OUT OF THE WATER… OFF THE BEACH AND OUT OF HARBORS AND MARINAS. TSUNAMI ADVISORIES MEAN THAT A TSUNAMI CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG CURRENTS OR WAVES DANGEROUS TO PERSONS IN OR VERY NEAR WATER IS IMMINENT OF EXPECTED. SIGNIFICANT WIDESPREAD INUNDATION IS NOT EXPECTED FOR AREAS IN AN ADVISORY. TSUNAMIS ARE A SERIES OF WAVES POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS SEVERAL HOURS AFTER INITIAL ARRIVAL TIME. ESTIMATED TIMES OF INITIAL WAVE ARRIVAL FOR SELECTED SITES IN THE ADVISORY ARE PROVIDED BELOW.Area: SAN FRANCISCO-COASTAL NORTH BAY… INCLUDING POINT REYES NATIONAL SEASHORE-SAN FRANCISCO PENINSULA COAST-NORTHERN MONTEREY BAY-SOUTHERN MONTEREY BAY AND BIG SUR COAST-
Affected Counties or parts of: San Francisco, Santa Cruz, San Mateo, Marin, Monterey, Contra Costa, Napa, San Benito, Sonoma, Santa Clara, Alameda
Sent: 2009-09-29T15:31:49-07:00
Original Sender: KMTR@nwws.oes.ca.govFrom: NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA
Not even the weak Schumer bill, the 3 Democrats voted with 10 Republicans to kill the public option in the Finance Committee bill. Give Ben Nelson and Tom Carper credit for coming through in the end despite months of vascillation. At least we know where the Democrats stand, and the question is whether any of these three Democrats or Lieberman will join a filibuster should the final bill contain a public option.
Rockefeller has pledged not to vote for a bill sans a public option, so the question is whether he’ll vote to send this bill to the floor or just kill it (with Republican help) so the Senate can simply move forward on the HELP bill.
But there will be no public option in the Baucus bill.
Baucus has all but ensured that he will face a primary challenge next time around. If progressives in Arkansas sit out in her election, Lincoln’s as good as gone. All three have taken huge insurance industry campaign donations.
The Rockefeller amendment went down 8 to 15. Nelson and Carper of course.
Addendum: Schumer on the vote.
“To come up only two votes shy in the Finance Committee, the most difficult terrain for this proposal in the whole Congress, makes us increasingly optimistic that we can pass a bill with a good public option in the end. We had more votes at the end of the day than we did at the beginning, and many members who aren’t yet for a public option are still approaching us to seek out areas of agreement.”
Josh Marshal is keeping track of the debate. Sen. Jay Rockefeller introduced the bill with harsh words for the insurance industry, and Sen. Max Baucus is reported to have been visibly agitated by the speech.
Sen. Schumer supports the Rockefeller amendment, but of course has introduced his own “level playing field” version in which case the public option would not be linked to Medicare and it would negotiate rather than set fees. That amendment comes up for debate later.
In the meantime Republican Charles Grassely made a remarkable comment that Medicare has become “part of the social fabric of America” just like Social Security, both of which were vehemently opposed by Republicans when initially passed. With that statement, he’s unwittingly set an historical context for the Demorats’ meme – the Republicans oppose it now but will take credit for it in 50 years. Here’s the clip. Ignore the McCain title.
You can watch the hearing live through this link.
Addendum: More pressure on the Blue Dogs.
And a heart-tugging anecdote about an uninsured baby with a faulty heart.
Seven-O-Heaven is maintained by Andrew, who contributes his locally topical photo-comic strips to the North Coast Journal. Contains all of the heretofore published strips and commentary.
Actually, it’s not technically a blog, but it has timed postings, so it’s close enough.
A couple of samples:
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