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Maybe I’m going out on a limb here, but some things I’ve been reading this weekend lead me to believe the candidate will be…… Hillary Clinton.
I’m in the middle of something, but I’ll be back to explain.
Addendum: Okay, here it is.
1. Rumor: she has specifically asked to not be called for nomination at the convention.
2. Educated speculation: Obama will announced his VP choice before the Olympics start on Friday.
3. Fact: Clinton is scheduled to campaign with him this week.
4. Analysis: McCain’s negative attacks have generated some short term dividends, which threaten to take Obama off message instead of being “above the fray,” leading to commentary from David Gergen last week suggesting that Obama’s people re-evaluate her for the position.
5. Observation: Clinton is a brawler! Whom could McCain pick to counter her?
6. Fact: Hillary Clinton has been given Tuesday night at the convention, which is the anniversary of the ratification of the 19th Amendment. Obama will be accepting his nomination on the 40th anniversary of King’s I have a Dream speech. Passing up on that double-whammy of symbolism would seem a waste of opportunity.
7. Analysis: Think of the sheer theater of the choice, and thunder it would generate, the boosting of the morale of the sizable Clinton wing of the party.
1. Bad blood between the campaigns may not yet be healed
2. She could become a loose cannon, and/or upstage Obama
3. Her husband could become a loose canon
4. Galvanizes a certain portion of the Republican Party
5. Doesn’t provide an geographic advantage, such as Tim Kaine of Virginia or Claire McCaskil of Missouri.
But I just don’t think they outweigh the positives of a “dream team” unity ticket.
Another side note is that if they win, Clinton won’t be hounding him in 2012.
Addendum: Here’s another hint at a Clinton VP spot.
Not from a left wing source, but rather the Wall Street Journal:
Wal-Mart Stores Inc. is mobilizing its store managers and department supervisors around the country to warn that if Democrats win power in November, they’ll likely change federal law to make it easier for workers to unionize companies — including Wal-Mart.
In recent weeks, thousands of Wal-Mart store managers and department heads have been summoned to mandatory meetings at which the retailer stresses the downside for workers if stores were to be unionized.
According to about a dozen Wal-Mart employees who attended such meetings in seven states, Wal-Mart executives claim that employees at unionized stores would have to pay hefty union dues while getting nothing in return, and may have to go on strike without compensation. Also, unionization could mean fewer jobs as labor costs rise.
Got it. Vote Democrat, lose your job. Of course, it’s not specifically aimed at anybody, so it’s perfectly legal. Apparently.
Sure enough, later in the article the company’s top brass blames its mid-level management for any misunderstandings.
Tallahassee Democrat senior writer Stephen Price was singled out and asked to leave the area reserved for media at a rally for John McCain in Panama City, Florida, on Friday. He had showed his media credentials and employee i.d. in order to enter the area when a member of McCain’s security detail asked him to leave.
“I explained I was with the state press, but the Secret Service man said that didn’t matter and that I would have to go,” Price said.
When another reporter asked why Price was being removed, she too was led out of the area. Other state reporters remained.
Price was the only black reporter among those surrounding McCain’s bus … was he being “profiled”?
The post goes on to report that the campaign apologized, but said that the reporter was only removed because he wasn’t part of the Barbecue entourage. They shrugged their shoulders when asked why the white state reporters weren’t removed as well.
The probable explanation is that the Secret Service people did not remove him specifically because he was black, but knew he wasn’t in the entourage because there are probably no black reporters in the entourage, at least none which looked like this reporter. The other reporters were obviously camouflaged except for the woman who stood out by questioning the removal of her fellow reporter. In other words, all white people look the same.
Addendum: David Gergen is no radical by a long shot. He’s made a left turn in recent years after advising three Republican presidents, but he’s not a leftist. He thinks McCain is playing to race in dog-whistle fashion, which works. Gergen is from the south. He understands it.
But Obama has to play it cool. Whites don’t like to be called racists, and these days they’re hypersensitive about it. Let Gergen and others explain it.